Saturday 29 June 2013

Waning hope for change


Unprecedented turn-over in the May 2013 elections, emergence of PML (N) as the largest party, Mian Nawaz Sharif’s decisions to respect PTI’s mandate in KPK, nomination of Dr Abdul Malik, a nationalist, as CM Balochistan and smooth formation of the governments at the centre and the provinces were welcomed by the masses in general as a good omen for change.

After less than four weeks of incumbent government, the euphoria has faded and hopes for the envisaged change are waning away. Though at this stage it is too early to comment on government’s performance, one may analyse its actions / decisions from the perspective of the direction in which it is likely to proceed. That be the gauge, things do not auger well as government has already discredited itself because of certain decisions / actions, or lack thereof, and unless correction course is applied, things are likely to get worse, turning into total failure.

To start with, there are big question marks on the conduct of elections, especially in Punjab, and, as such, legitimacy of the incumbent government. Despite assurances that government would look into the charges of massive rigging, no follow-up action has been taken.

In an environment where other provinces have certain reservations about Punjab, one fails to comprehend the logic behind taking more than 80% cabinet ministers from this province, especially when most of the key appointments including PM, NA speaker, COAS and CJ (though he holds Balochistan domicile) are also from Punjab.   

Though the government had short time and little fiscal space, yet it could have done better while preparing the budget. Instead of milking the wealthy and providing relief to the poor, government chose to rely on indirect taxation, directly affecting all and sundry, irrespective of their income. The budget is rightly being termed as ‘anti-poor, anti-people’.

Contrary to expectations, there has been upsurge in terrorist related activities with the government demonstrating total lack of will and ability to deal with the situation. The Interior Minister, as if still in opposition, seems to be more interested in undermining the agencies, rather than taking responsibility and condemning those who own the terrorist acts.

Controversial appointments; (1) Appointment of Dr Musadik Malik as  Special Assistant to PM on power and energy (as per information available on internet, he is basically a pharmacist specializing in treatment of erectile dysfunction) (2) Appointment of Najam Sethi as acting chairman of PCB, prompting people to wonder whether his appointment is a reward for the role he played, or failed to play, in the outcome of elections in Punjab, fraught with rigging charges at massive scale (3) Appointment of Captain (Retired) Shujaat Azeem as Advisor to PM on Aviation Affairs, a clear cut case of conflict of interest as he is also CEO of Royal Airport Service, which provides ground handling facility to airlines (unless resigned recently).

Relief in load shedding still remains an illusion.

Circular debt; Logically, the government should have first enquired into charges of bloated operational expenses, over invoicing and kickbacks, scrutinized contracts, carried out audit and then settled the circular debt, especially payment to the IPPs, after necessary bargaining. Instead, it has decided to clear Rs 326 billion of circular debt by 30 June 2013, a decision which is raising many doubts, especially when Mian Mansha, PM’s close friend and owner of a number of IPPs, is one of the members of task force which has recommended this course. Isn’t it a case of conflict of interest? Similarly, the lawyer who has been representing IPPs in their case vs the government has been appointed Attorney General of Pakistan. Seems the government, as well as the opposition, very conveniently, chose to pay no heed to the news item published in THE NEWS dated 14th June 2013 under heading ‘Auditor General finds Rs 290 billion scam of oil companies’.

Motor vehicles amnesty scheme; Notwithstanding contradictory verdicts by IHC and LHC on legality of this scheme, as per FBR statement 50,901 non-duty paid vehicles have been legalized, generating record revenue of Rs15.837 billion (THE NEWS dated 20th June 2013). Taking this figure as correct, the average collection per vehicle comes to slightly over Rs 300000/-. With the number of luxury cars that we see on roads after the introduction of this scheme, the figure seems peanuts and needs enquiring into. The government, however, is mum over the issue.

Criminal silence of opposition on dubious payment of circular debt and failure of the government to enquire into details of the motor vehicle amnesty scheme, indicates some sort of understanding between the government and opposition, Charter of Democracy turning into Charter of Mutual Corruption with Impunity.

In this backdrop, Musharraf’s trial has suddenly taken a centre stage, leaving people guessing about the timings, motive and the reason as to why he being tried for 3 November 2007 act but not for toppling Mian Nawaz Sharif’s previous government on 12 October 1999.

While commencement of Musharraf’s trial proceedings has surely caused public’s distraction from certain major issues, the PM is adamant that initiation of proceedings to try Musharraf is in compliance with the SC’s decision, which is factually incorrect. Firstly, invoking Article 6 of the constitution is government’s prerogative and the SC cannot direct the government in this regard and, secondly, if the PM is so concerned about implementing SC verdicts, he should first take action on SC’s decision on Asghar Khan Case, which is binding on him. Similarly, SC is also showing partiality by asking the government to intimate its intent to try Musharraf as per Article 6, where it has no jurisdiction, while ignoring the Asghar Khan Case in which action on its decision is pending.

As such, neither the PM nor Judiciary should be selective in dispensation of justice. If Musharraf is to be tried under Article 6, the PM cannot just order his trial for act committed on 3 November 2007. It is also incumbent upon him to initiate proceedings against Musharraf under Article 6 for his act of 12 October 1999 and ensure that all those who abetted his action are brought to justice, in line with the 18th Amendment.

No matter what the outcome of Musharraf’s ongoing trials, the facts are; (1) He committed unconstitutional acts on 12 October 1999 and 3 November 2007, in which he was abetted by many (2) Baitullah Mehsud group was responsible for BB’s murder (3) Nawab Akbar Bugti committed suicide by blowing the cave he was in, taking down some Army officers with him (4) It is also a fact that Musharraf is not being tried under Article 6 for toppling Mian Nawaz Sharif’s previous government on 12 October 1999 because the incumbent CJ was part of the bench which indemnified Musharraf’s act, took oath on PCO, was ultimately benefitted by doing so by his elevation to CJ’s appointment and, thus, is an abetter.

I may also clarify that contrary to general perception that Musharraf served US interests and that the latter is trying to save him, the fact is that the top US leaders are covertly, and the mid-tier leadership / think tank are overtly, blaming Musharraf / Pakistan Army / ISI for their failure in Afghanistan. As such, in their perspective, Musharraf must be punished and Pakistan Army / ISI must be undermined, a manifestation of which we are seeing these days, some of us behaving more loyal than the king in this regard. 

In nut shell, justice must be seen as done in Musharraf’s cases, as failing to do so would have grave ramifications. Moreover, using Musharraf’s cases for causing distraction from other issues or settling scores or undermining Army as an institution would be a folly on the part of the government, as the stakes are too high.


People have great expectations from Mian Nawaz Sharif. Accordingly, he must set his priorities right and concentrate on alleviating the misgivings of the masses, rather than losing direction by succumbing to the hawks in his cabinet, parties with vested interests and Judiciary.